Data Science & Analytics

Bayesian Estimation

This skill covers Bayesian estimation and inference in quantitative social science. Use when the user is specifying priors, running MCMC, diagnosing chain convergence, or reporting posterior summaries — including hierarchical models, Bayesian structural models, and small-sample settings where priors regularize. Triggers on "Bayesian estimation", "Bayesian inference", "MCMC", "Markov chain Monte Carlo", "Stan", "PyMC", "NumPyro", "prior", "posterior", "credible interval", "Bayesian structural", "Bayesian BLP", "Bayesian DSGE", "hierarchical model", "random effects Bayesian", "posterior predictive check", "Bayes factor", "prior predictive check", "NUTS", "HMC", "Hamiltonian Monte Carlo", "R-hat", "rhat", "effective sample size", "ESS", "Bayesian calibration", "posterior distribution", "prior elicitation", "weakly informative prior", "brms", "rstanarm", "cmdstanpy", "pymc", "arviz".

Publisher / source
brycewang-stanford/Auto-Empirical-Research-Skills (found on GitHub top repositories)
Upstream record
brycewang-stanford/Auto-Empirical-Research-Skills
Version
Version 1
Published
Publication review
Approved for publication · recorded passed scan 2026-11-05
Content fingerprint
65bf5bc17fe68eb6e478afed8ed0beb4cdd7159383fbfab80cfc2cda3a970fc0